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October 22, 2007, 6:03 pm

How Apple Beat the Street — Again

picture-3.jpgIn the days before Apple’s (AAPL) quarterly earnings report, several analysts hastily raised their estimates for the company’s Q4 profits — as if fearing a repeat of the last four quarters, when the company beat Wall Street’s targets by anywhere from 22% to 46%.

But it was too little too late. As CNNMoney reported at the close of market today, Apple posted sharply higher sales and earnings in the quarter that ended Sept. 29. With revenue of $6.22 billion and earnings of $1.01 cents per share, Apple blew past not only its target of 65 cents a share, but the analysts’ average estimate of 86 cents.

Analyst Shaw Wu of American Technology Research, who had predicted sales of $6.05 billion, proclaimed it an “all-around strong quarter.”

“Very impressive,” said Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster. “Everything is just clipping along.”

What surprised both analysts the most, however, was Apple’s rosy prediction of a blowout Christmas quarter with sales of $9.2 billion and earnings of $1.41 a share — a sharp contrast to the company’s tradition of extremely cautious forward-looking guidance. “It’s the first time in three quarters they’ve given guidance higher than Wall Street’s,” says Munster. “This could push Street estimates up 25% to 30%.”

Apple’s shares closed at all-time record high of 174.36, up 2.31% for the day, and added another 12 points in after-market trading.

How did Steve Jobs & Co. do it?

In a word: Macintosh. The company sold 2.164 million Macs in the quarter, accounting for 62% of the company’s revenue. Sales were up 34% year to year and set a company record for the fall quarter, thanks in large part to back-to-school promotions.

Macintosh market shares are up sharply in Europe and even Japan, where sales have lagged, and Munster estimates that Apple’s worldwide market share could grow from 3% to 3.2% as a result of the Mac surge. Earlier estimates of Apple’s share of the U.S. computer market put it anywhere from 6.2% to 8.1%.

iPhone sales were also impressive — 1.12 million sold in the quarter, with a burst of sales after the September $200 price drop — but because Apple spreads its cellphone revenue across 24 months, the iPhone impact on Q4 earnings was less significant.

The one place where Apple failed to meet expectations was in iPod sales. The company reported 10.2 million iPods sold in the quarter — a shade fewer than the 10.9 million analysts were expecting.

But where it matters most — profitability — Apple continues to shine. Its gross margin for the quarter was 33.6%, up from 29.2% a year earlier. That’s not even in the same ballpark as Apple’s competitors in the cut-throat computer and cellphone industries.

Steve Jobs has clearly learned how to leverage his company’s advantage in design and ease of use to the benefit of Apple’s investors — and the company’s bottom line.

See Apple’s press release here.

For a transcript of the earnings call, click here.

For background, see Apple Earnings Preview: Firing on All Cylinders

“Steve Jobs has clearly learned how to leverage his company’s advantage in design and ease of use to the benefit of Apple’s investors — and the company’s bottom line”…
and in one more way: Apple customers like me get to use the iPhone out and about every single day. And when I’m home, our iMacs rule the roost.

I own a business, and I wouldn’t go back to Windows if you paid me. ‘Vista’ is a bad joke that I hope will cost Micros**t dearly.

Do I sound bitter? Good. At my previous photo company they are still saddled with XP, and it was a hideous buggy nightmare that I’m glad I don’t have to endure.
XP cost them money daily with bad reliability, unusability and hideous, woeful 3rd party apps that reflect the Windows ‘good enough’ mentality.

Micros**t - be afraid. I for one will never go back.

Posted By Nigel Ash, Atlanta GA : October 24, 2007 2:54 pm

Here’s what seems to be happening:
Apple’s retail stores and combination of products like ipods and iPhones are working together synergistically.

When customers who have never owned Macs come into Apple stores because of iPhones and iPods they see a different type of computer.

The elegance of the Mac, and the clearly superior graphics vs. the normal PC can’t be denied!

Posted By Tony Davis, Flower Mound texas : October 23, 2007 9:53 am

No negatives, Wow!
Just stiking to the facts. Nice to see for a change.
3%+ worldwide market share and somewhere around 7% US market share. The company is still in its infancy stage. Lets see where they go in the next five years.

Posted By Marcel, Ann Arbor, MI : October 23, 2007 8:41 am

That’s what Algore is for, Grant — political cover. Surely you don’t think SJ brought this lovable lug on board because of any technical competence, do you? Like Apple’s board, Algore can be bought as well.

Posted By Jose, Santa Clara CA : October 23, 2007 3:46 am

Funny how that little options backdating thing doesn’t seem to figure into any of this. That supplicant whizbangs jus’ plumb forget to ask about it:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/50846-apple-f4q07-qtr-end-9-29-07-earnings-call-transcript?source=yahoo

is to be expected of course.

But would Apple (corporate) really be so sanguine sans The Stevester?

Posted By Grant Fehr, Blanco, Texas : October 22, 2007 10:22 pm

Nothing bad to say?

Did I click on the right link?

Just messing with you Philip. I give you a hard time because most of the time I think you are paid to write bad stuff about Apple. Today you were nice and just posted the facts without trying to slant it in a negative way and I thank you for that.

Apple continues to click on all cylinders. It’s like a snowball rolling down the hill collecting strength as it goes.

iPods sold well, but a little less than somebody thought it would be. With 85% of the market cornered it’s hard to increase market share when you already dominate.

The real growth potential is in computers and iPhones where the sky is the limit and it looks like Apple is on the verge to really break out in those two markets. No wonder Apple was even optimistic about their forecasts in those areas where they are normally conservative.

Posted By Nodack, Phoenix AZ : October 22, 2007 7:36 pm
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Philip Elmer-DeWittSilicon Valley veterans like to joke that Steve Jobs must be surrounded by a reality distortion field; if you get too close to him, you start to believe what he's saying. Thanks to the success of the iPod, the launch of the iPhone and the renewed interest in the Mac, Apple has made believers out of millions of customers - and made a lot of investors rich. But Philip Elmer-DeWitt believes that an ounce of skepticism never hurts when writing about the company. He should know. He's been covering Apple - and watching Steve Jobs operate - since 1982, first for Time Magazine, then for Business 2.0, and now for Fortune.
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